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Global economic recovery feeds growing inequality

Written By limadu on Selasa, 21 Januari 2014 | 08.36

income inequality

For many, the recovery from the financial crisis is a phantom: Many people can't see an improvement in their quality of life, and the gap between rich and poor is growing.

DAVOS (CNNMoney)

The top line numbers are looking brighter: The global economy should grow by 3.2% this year, up from 2.4% in 2013, according to the World Bank.

Yet for many, in the developed world and emerging markets alike, the recovery from the worst economic crisis since the 1930s has a phantom-like quality. Many people can't see an improvement in their quality of life, and the gap between the rich and poor is growing.

"Since the global financial crisis, it's been a race to the bottom in jobs, wages and living standards," said Philip Jennings, general secretary of UNI Global Union.

Central banks have pumped trillions of dollars into the world financial system to stabilize their economies, sending stock markets and real estate prices soaring to the benefit of the wealthy.

At the same time, governments have slashed public sector jobs, reduced protections for those working in the private sector, cut welfare benefits and made pensions less generous -- changes that hit the young and most vulnerable the hardest. Companies continue to shed jobs, too.

Related: More austerity for U.K. despite recovery

The World Economic Forum, which is hosting its annual meeting of the business elite in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos this week, surveyed over 700 experts about what was the biggest risk to the global economy over the next 10 years.

The answer: a yawning gap in incomes that could put a huge strain on social cohesion.

Taking third place on the list, after extreme weather, was unemployment.

Europe may have stemmed its debt crisis but risks a "lost generation" of people born in the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall, nearly 25 years ago, because it isn't creating enough jobs.

Eurozone unemployment has been stuck at a record high of 12% since April 2013, meaning over 19 million are without work. For those under 25, the picture is even worse -- nearly one in four does not have a job.

Related: 'I just want a job'

Where jobs are being created, such as the U.S., U.K. or even Spain, they're often poorly paid or offer only temporary employment, making it hard for people to save money, gain experience and build a career.

Many are giving up on the search for work, discouraged by repeated rejections or low wages. And chronic long term youth unemployment may be creating another crisis -- major health problems that will add billions to future care costs.

In Davos, heads of state will rub shoulders with central bankers and top executives, who on average pay $20,000 to attend (before flight and hotel costs).

And searching questions will be asked about growing inequality and the future of work. But answers will be harder to find. To top of page

First Published: January 20, 2014: 1:25 PM ET


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Did you get an email from Target? What you need to know

target security breach email

Target sent emails like the one shown above to millions of customers affected by the breach. Be careful about scammers trying to mimic them.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Target did indeed do a blast to customers to offer one year of free credit monitoring. The problem is scammers are also on the prowl and are sending out similar emails.

Target even says it has identified and stopped at least 12 scams preying on consumers via email, Facebook and other outlets.

The Target emails went to customers whose personal information was in the Target (TGT, Fortune 500) database. Cyber thieves penetrated the records during the holiday shopping season breach discovered last month and stole info like names, phone numbers and email addresses. The full extent of the hacking is still under investigation.

In the meantime, here's what to do if you see an email from Target pop up in your inbox.

If you've already opened the email: Target has posted a copy of the email it sent out online. So go here to make sure the email you opened, the address it came from, and the link you clicked all matches up.

If it doesn't match, and especially if you clicked a link to an external website and entered personal information, you need to take action quickly, says Credit.com Chairman Adam Levin, who specializes in privacy and identity theft.

First, get a copy of your credit report, check your bank and credit card activity on a daily basis and call the credit reporting agencies to tell them what happened. You can ask to have a fraud alert placed on your account, meaning it will be flagged to lenders if someone attempts to open credit in your name.

If you're really worried, you can request a credit freeze, which prohibits any credit from being extended under your name. But that's a big step because you will have to go through the process of undoing this whenever you need credit again.

If you entered a credit card or debit card number, reach out to those institutions to warn them of potential fraud as well.

Related: Millions getting new debit, credit cards after Target breach

If you haven't opened the email: To avoid any chance of a virus or of falling prey to a potential scam, Levin recommends going directly to Target's website to view the letter you believe has landed in your inbox -- since even opening a fraudulent email could lead malware to be installed on your computer. And if you do open the email, don't click on any links.

You can also visit creditmonitoring.target.com directly to enroll in the free credit monitoring Target is offering. Once there, you will have to enter your email address and will be sent another email within 72 hours with a unique activation code to use in order to sign up for the service. The subject will mention the activation code.

All other correspondence from Target can be found here. The retailer emphasizes that it will never email a consumer and ask for personal information like a Social Security number or credit card information.

But it's not just emails claiming to be from Target that customers need to worry about.

If your personal information was compromised in the breach, that means scammers could contact you pretending to be anyone -- like another retailer or even the IRS.

"These people are now in harm's way -- you have to look really carefully at any email you click on from now on," said Levin. "If there was ever a moment for people to think, 'It could happen to me' ... this is that moment." To top of page

First Published: January 20, 2014: 4:02 PM ET


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Investors should root for Seattle ... maybe

broncos seahawks

If you believe in the Super Bowl indicator, you may want to root for Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks over Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

According to this bit of Wall Street lore, the Dow tends to go up when a team from the original National Football League beats a team that played in the upstart American Football League, which merged to create the current NFL.

The Seahawks actually didn't come into existence until the 1970s. But they started in the National Football Conference, where most old NFL teams play. Following a 25-year stint in the opposing American Football Conference, the Seahawks returned to the NFC in 2002. That's why investors are supposed to root for Seattle.

Most of the old AFL teams, including the Broncos, now play in the AFC. So usually it's better when a current NFC team beats the AFC team.

Of course, the Super Bowl Indicator is nothing more than a correlation. There is no real cause and effect and investors should NOT use it as a guide for buying and selling stocks.

But for what it's worth, the indicator has been accurate more than 80% of time since the first Super Bowl in 1967 -- albeit with plenty of loopholes.

For example, the six-time Super Bowl champ Pittsburgh Steelers count as an "old" team even though they play in the AFC. That's because they were originally in the NFL before the merger.

Similarly, the Baltimore Ravens, which won last year's Super Bowl, are also considered an "old" team despite playing in the AFC. They were previously the old NFL's Cleveland Browns before moving to Baltimore nearly two decades ago.

Related: Fox Sports sells out Super Bowl ads

During the times when the indicator has worked, the Dow has averaged a 10% gain that year..

But the indicator is not perfect. And the last time it failed, it went horribly wrong for stocks. That was in 2008, when the NFC's New York Giants beat the New England Patriots. The Dow tumbled more than 30% due to the financial crisis and Great Recession.

A Broncos win may not be so bad: Interestingly enough, in the nine times that the Super Bowl Indicator has failed to accurately predict market direction, the Denver Broncos have been participants in four of those championship games.

In 1978 and 1990, the Denver Broncos were defeated in the Super Bowl by the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers respectively. But the Dow fell anyway in both years.

When the Broncos beat the Green Bay Packers in 1998 and repeated as champs with a victory over the Atlanta Falcons in 1999, the Dow delivered gains north of 15% during one of the best bull markets in history.

The market really loves the 49ers: Still, some might argue that the Seahawks jinxed things by making it to the Super Bowl. While the Dallas Cowboys will always be America's Team (disclosure: this writer was born and bred a Dallas Cowboys fan), Wall Street's favorite team seems to be the San Francisco 49ers.

San Francisco lost Sunday night in a testy battle against the Seahawks that led to an instant classic postgame interview with Seattle cornerback Richard Sherman.

During the five years that the Niners have won the Super Bowl, the Dow averaged an increase of more than 20%.

Then again, San Francisco lost last year and the Dow went on to hit a record high.

So feel free to have fun on Super Bowl Sunday and root for whichever team is your favorite. What the market does in 2014 depends more on how strong earnings are and how quickly new Fed chief Janet Yellen pulls back on stimulus for the economy than whether or not Peyton Manning gets his second Super Bowl ring. To top of page

First Published: January 20, 2014: 2:03 PM ET


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Jos. A. Bank rejects new Men's Wearhouse bid

Written By limadu on Senin, 20 Januari 2014 | 08.36

jos a bank

Jos. A. Bank called the Men's Wearhouse bid "inadequate and opportunistic."

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Jos. A. Bank's message to shareholders Friday? You're not going to like the way it looks.

Men's Wearhouse's $1.6 billion hostile bid offered Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) stockholders $57.50 a share, a modest premium from Friday's closing price of $56.49.

"The Offer significantly undervalues Jos. A. Bank, and its future prospects," Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) said Friday. "Men's Wearhouse's true motives are unclear and its commitment to the Offer is not credible."

The firm added that it "is continuing to consider strategic alternatives, including acquisitions, which will maximize stockholder value."

The announcement marks the latest development in the months-long takeover battle between the two menswear merchants.

Jos. A. Bank made an offer to buy Men's Wearhouse last year for $2.4 billion. Men's Wearhouse rejected that bid and countered with an unsolicited bid of $55 a share for Jos. A. Bank -- a proposal that was also rejected.

Related: Time Warner Cable rejects merger plan

"Given that the Jos. A. Bank Board has publicly acknowledged the compelling strategic logic of this transaction, we think Jos. A. Bank shareholders should question why their Board is refusing to negotiate with us to reach an agreement that will deliver to them significant value," Men's Wearhouse said Friday.

Earlier this month, Jos. A. Bank announced a shareholders' rights plan, commonly known as a poison pill defense, to block hostile bids by granting additional shares should any buyer acquire 10% of its shares.

It's been a tumultuous few months for Men's Wearhouse, which is under pressure from its largest shareholder, Eminence Capital, to secure a deal.

Last June, the retailer announced the firing of George Zimmer, its chairman, founder and long-time pitchman. To top of page

First Published: January 17, 2014: 7:01 PM ET


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Are you ready for some earnings?

SP ytd

After last year's big rally, the S&P 500 has been off to a rocky start in 2014

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The U.S. markets will be closed Monday for the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday.

Stocks ended last week mixed, though it was a bumpy ride. The S&P 500 briefly moved into positive territory mid-week, before falling back into the red. The Dow Jones industrial average is also down for the year, while the Nasdaq has outperformed.

Banks were the main focus, with five out of the six largest U.S. banks reporting quarterly results that topped expectations.

But the week ahead brings quarterly reports from a more diverse group of companies, including Dow components Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500), Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500), McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and Procter & Gamble (PG, Fortune 500).

Related: Big banks beat expectations, but ...

In addition, investors will get fourth quarter results from two of last year's top performing S&P 500 companies. Delta Airlines (DAL, Fortune 500) reports Tuesday. Netflix (NFLX), which surged nearly 300% last year and was the biggest gainer in the S&P 500, reports on Wednesday.

Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500) and eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500) are other big names to watch for this week.

Overall, earnings in the final three months of 2013 are expected to be up 6.1% versus the same period in 2012, according to FactSet Research. But there have been a number of profit warnings from some bellwether companies, including UPS (UPS, Fortune 500)and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA).

Meanwhile, the only economic data of note this week is Thursday's report on new home sales for December.

While the job market was much weaker than expected last month, most other indicators for December have been better than expected, including a solid report on retail sales last week.

Related: UPS warns Christmas delivery woes hit bottom line

After last year's spectacular rally, investors have been looking for signs the economy will be able to keep the bull market going in 2014.

In general, investors are expecting another good year for stocks, but not as strong as last year. Many are bracing for a correction, usually defined as a decline of 10% or more. But even then, investors seem confident that stocks will ultimately end the year higher than where they started.

"We do believe if a correction unfolds early in the year, it's more likely a buying opportunity than a sinister sign for the year and beyond," analysts at Schwab wrote in a report Friday. To top of page

First Published: January 19, 2014: 9:21 AM ET


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Guess who's coming to America?

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Based on customer data from UniGroup Relocation, the international arm of the United Van Lines, 15% more people moved into the U.S. than left the country. That's up from 7% in 2012.

We're coming to America!

These 10 countries are sending the most people to the U.S.

United Kingdom
Germany
China
Australia
France
India
Singapore
Canada
Switzerland
Japan

Source: UniGroup Relocation

"It's a reflection of the strength of the economic recovery in the United States," said Richard McClure, UniGroup's CEO.

The number one place new residents are coming from: the United Kingdom. Up next: Germany, China, Australia and France.

The U.S. economy has rebounded faster than most of the Eurozone, spurring an inflow of workers from that region, explained Michael Stoll, economist and chair of the Department of Public Policy at UCLA. In addition, more U.S. companies are looking farther afield for highly skilled workers, he said.

Related: More people are moving to Oregon

UniGroup's customers tend to be people who are hired for well-paid jobs. "The traffic is almost entirely corporate management," said UniGroup spokeswoman Melissa Sullivan. "People don't relocate internationally unless it's for a job."

There are some exceptions, however. The company moved quite a few elderly Chinese to America last year, McClure said. Most of them were parents of Chinese businessmen working in the U.S., he said.

Last year was the first time in four years that more people from China moved to the U.S. than the other way around. Part of that was due to the slight cooling of the Chinese economy. Another factor, is that American firms operating in China are increasingly switching to local workers so there's less need to move American employees into the country, said McClure.

Related: How far will my salary go in another city?

"As U.S. investments in China have matured, there's has been a movement toward homegrown talent," he said.

The total number of international moves Unigroup did fell during the Great Recession. Yet, since the recovery, the total number of moves has risen.

"You see more companies needing a presence overseas to access the increasingly global economy," said Sullivan. To top of page

First Published: January 19, 2014: 2:45 PM ET


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Obama and NSA: So what is metadata anyway?

Written By limadu on Minggu, 19 Januari 2014 | 08.36

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

OK. But what's the metadata he's talking about?

It's information wireless carriers collect about where, when and to whom customers make phone calls. It doesn't include any recordings of the actual phone call itself.

The metadata can contain phone numbers, the time and duration of calls and the location of the caller and the recipient.

But it also goes beyond that: It can include which cellular towers were used to transmit the call and what kind of phone was being used.

When bundled together, those metadata can potentially reveal a whole lot about a caller.

For example, knowing that a person was calling someone frequently in the early hours of the morning could indicate that they have a close relationship. Knowing that the call rapidly switched cell towers could indicate that the caller was driving during a call.

Currently, the government collects and stores most of those records.

Obama isn't proposing that the NSA stop collecting metadata entirely. But the scope will be more limited. Fewer calls will be cataloged, and the government will have to get a judge's approval to tap the records.

Eventually, Obama said the government will stop gathering and keeping metadata, but there is no plan yet to replace the existing system. To top of page

First Published: January 17, 2014: 3:57 PM ET


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Jos. A. Bank rejects new Men's Wearhouse bid

jos a bank

Jos. A. Bank called the Men's Wearhouse bid "inadequate and opportunistic."

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Jos. A. Bank's message to shareholders Friday? You're not going to like the way it looks.

Men's Wearhouse's $1.6 billion hostile bid offered Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) stockholders $57.50 a share, a modest premium from Friday's closing price of $56.49.

"The Offer significantly undervalues Jos. A. Bank, and its future prospects," Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) said Friday. "Men's Wearhouse's true motives are unclear and its commitment to the Offer is not credible."

The firm added that it "is continuing to consider strategic alternatives, including acquisitions, which will maximize stockholder value."

The announcement marks the latest development in the months-long takeover battle between the two menswear merchants.

Jos. A. Bank made an offer to buy Men's Wearhouse last year for $2.4 billion. Men's Wearhouse rejected that bid and countered with an unsolicited bid of $55 a share for Jos. A. Bank -- a proposal that was also rejected.

Related: Time Warner Cable rejects merger plan

"Given that the Jos. A. Bank Board has publicly acknowledged the compelling strategic logic of this transaction, we think Jos. A. Bank shareholders should question why their Board is refusing to negotiate with us to reach an agreement that will deliver to them significant value," Men's Wearhouse said Friday.

Earlier this month, Jos. A. Bank announced a shareholders' rights plan, commonly known as a poison pill defense, to block hostile bids by granting additional shares should any buyer acquire 10% of its shares.

It's been a tumultuous few months for Men's Wearhouse, which is under pressure from its largest shareholder, Eminence Capital, to secure a deal.

Last June, the retailer announced the firing of George Zimmer, its chairman, founder and long-time pitchman. To top of page

First Published: January 17, 2014: 7:01 PM ET


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Intel to cut over 5,000 jobs

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

The company says the cuts are in response to "evolving market trends."

Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) said it will trim about 5% of its 107,600 global workforce by the end of 2014 -- 5,380 jobs.

"This is not a layoff," said Intel Spokesman Chris Kraeuter. "It's not a giant, one time action. This is a target employment rate for the end of the year."

Kraeuter said the cuts will come as a result of people retiring, redeployments, or people leaving voluntarily.

"We're making decisions on how to design our resources to better meet the needs of our business," said Kraeuter.

The news comes after the company announced lackluster earnings and guidance Thursday. Investors are anxious for the chipmaker to become less dependent on the slow growing personal computer market and more engaged in mobile technology.

For the year, Intel shares are up about 18%, while the broader electronic technology sector is up over 30%. To top of page

First Published: January 17, 2014: 6:00 PM ET


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Jos. A. Bank rejects new Men's Wearhouse bid

Written By limadu on Sabtu, 18 Januari 2014 | 08.37

jos a bank

Jos. A. Bank called the Men's Wearhouse bid "inadequate and opportunistic."

NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Jos. A. Bank's message to shareholders Friday? You're not going to like the way it looks.

Men's Wearhouse's $1.6 billion hostile bid offered Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) stockholders $57.50 a share, a modest premium from Friday's closing price of $56.49.

"The Offer significantly undervalues Jos. A. Bank, and its future prospects," Jos. A. Bank (JOSB) said Friday. "Men's Wearhouse's true motives are unclear and its commitment to the Offer is not credible."

The firm added that it "is continuing to consider strategic alternatives, including acquisitions, which will maximize stockholder value."

The announcement marks the latest development in the months-long takeover battle between the two menswear merchants.

Jos. A. Bank made an offer to buy Men's Wearhouse last year for $2.4 billion. Men's Wearhouse rejected that bid and countered with an unsolicited bid of $55 a share for Jos. A. Bank -- a proposal that was also rejected.

Related: Time Warner Cable rejects merger plan

"Given that the Jos. A. Bank Board has publicly acknowledged the compelling strategic logic of this transaction, we think Jos. A. Bank shareholders should question why their Board is refusing to negotiate with us to reach an agreement that will deliver to them significant value," Men's Wearhouse said Friday.

Earlier this month, Jos. A. Bank announced a shareholders' rights plan, commonly known as a poison pill defense, to block hostile bids by granting additional shares should any buyer acquire 10% of its shares.

It's been a tumultuous few months for Men's Wearhouse, which is under pressure from its largest shareholder, Eminence Capital, to secure a deal.

Last June, the retailer announced the firing of George Zimmer, its chairman, founder and long-time pitchman. To top of page

First Published: January 17, 2014: 7:01 PM ET


08.37 | 0 komentar | Read More
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